a wide area of storms and rain moving through the eastern Caribbean Sea can develop into a tropical cyclone or tornado In the coming days and affect CubaThe forecast center warned Meteorological Institute The island.
The state issued its first memorandum regarding the phenomenon on Thursday, in which it referred to this “Watch closely” the area of bad weather that includes northern Venezuela, the Netherlands Antilles and the southern part of the Lesser Antilles.
“This disturbance is related to an active tropical wave that has a low pressure center in its axis. The system is likely to turn into a tropical depression within the next 24 to 48 hours, as it moves west-northwest,” he was quoted as saying. The official site Cubadebate.
According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami, this phenomenon has a 90% chance of developing within the next 24 hours. At the moment, there is heavy rain in the Lesser Antilles and Venezuela.
According to meteorologists, it will head toward the central part of the Caribbean this weekend, and it could become the next hurricane of the season.
However, the prediction center reported that The “equatorial wave” moves slowly under atmospheric conditions unfavorable for its development, due to strong winds in the upper levels of the troposphere. These conditions will become more favorable in the coming days in the central Caribbean, where they can reach the rapid development of tropical cyclones, as their path is tilted to the northwest.”
So far, the path prediction models consulted show various possibilities in the Western Caribbean, ranging from the western and central regions of Cuba to the Yucatan Channel or the peninsula of the same name between Monday 26 and Tuesday 27 next week.
On Sunday night, the system could be present in the waters of the western Caribbean, between the seas south of Cubawest of Jamaica and northeast of Cabo Gracias a Deus, in Nicaragua.
Forecasters have described the current Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from June 1 to November 30, as “extremely active,” with up to 17 hurricanes expected, nine of them with the potential to reach the hurricane category.
The Cuban Meteorological Institute predicted that one of these hurricanes, with a probability of 85%, could affect the islandwhich is a probability that drops to 60% in the event of a hurricane.