Climate change could force more than 200 million people to leave their homes
Climate change could force more than 200 million people to leave their homes in the next three decades And the establishment of immigration areas unless urgent measures To reduce global emissions and close the development gap, a World Bank report concluded.
The second part of the report is entitled Groundswil Monday’s post examines how slow climate change, such as Water shortages, reduced crop yields, and sea-level rise could lead millions of people to what the report describes as “climate migrants”. by 2050 Under three different scenarios with varying degrees of climate action and development.
in a The most pessimistic scenario, with high emissions and uneven developments, the report predicts Up to 216 million people will migrate within their own countries across the six regions analyzed: Latin america; North Africa; Sub-Saharan Africa; Eastern Europe and Central Asia; South Asia; and East Asia and the Pacific.
in a Less risky scenario, with the low level of emissions and comprehensive and sustainable development, the number of Immigrants can be up to 80% less But even this means the migration of nearly 44 million people.
The report did not analyze the effects on Short-term Climate change, such as the effects of extreme weather events
the findings “They reaffirm the ability of climate to trigger migration within countries.”said Vivian Wei-Chin Clement, senior climate change expert at the World Bank and one of the report’s authors.
In the worst case scenario Sub-Saharan Africa – The most vulnerable area due to desertification, fragile coastlines and the population’s dependence on agriculture –He will be the one who will score the most moves, with up to 86 million climate migrants relocating within national borders.
The report did not provide a study on climate migration outside one’s national borders.
(with AP info)