Lula maintains election advantage and Bolsonaro gains momentum, according to poll

Lula maintains election advantage and Bolsonaro gains momentum, according to poll

Former Brazilian President Luis Inacio Lula da Silva will win Brazil’s October presidential election with 43% of the vote, but his advantage over President Jair Bolsonaro has been eroded slightly, with his voting intention rising to 26%, according to a published poll. This Thursday.

The survey by the Datafolha institute showed a lower advantage for the former union leader over the far-right leader than the poll published last December, although both are not directly comparable due to changes in the list of candidates.

In the previous poll, the left-wing Labor leader’s voting intention ranged between 47 and 48% depending on the scenario, while Bolsonaro, who is aspiring to be re-elected, ranged between 21 and 22. %.

The new Datafolha poll, which heard 2,556 voters between Tuesday and Wednesday this week in 181 cities in the country with a margin of error of two percentage points, showed that the country remains polarized between the far-right and left-wing leader unless it is seven. months before the presidential election.

It also reflects that none of the central candidates, trying to build a third road, is viable.

Roughly equal (between 8 and 6%) the former judge Sergio Moro, who sent Lula to prison, was a minister in the current government and was at odds with the leader of the far-right, and Ciro Gomez, the leader of the Democratic Action Party. (PDT) It was the third most voted vote in the 2018 presidential election.

Behind him is a faction of opponents whose number does not exceed 5% of voting intentions, including the governor of São Paulo, the country’s largest electoral college, João Doria, of the Brazilian Social Democratic Party (PSDB).

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Lula, who was the front-runner in opinion polls for the 2018 presidential election, could not run in the last election because he was convicted in two corruption trials by second-tier judges and was in prison.

The socialist leader was enabled to run in this year’s presidential election after the Supreme Court overturned his two sentences for believing that then-judge Sergio Moro, in charge of operations and with a forum in Curitiba, did not have jurisdiction to rule on the former head of state and that the cases should be done. Handled by a judge from Brasilia.

Aygen Marsh

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