(CNN Spanish) – Millions of eyes are on Group C in the World Cup yet Historic defeat for Argentina against Saudi Arabia On his debut in Qatar, which complicates – but does not eliminate – his chances of going to the round of 16. Mexico’s path to overcoming the group stage looks, for now, somewhat easier.

After the Arab draw 2-1 with Argentina and a 1-1 draw between them Mexico and PolandAll eyes are on Saturday, the date Mexico will face Argentina and Poland against Saudi Arabia.

At this moment anything can happen. You can classify one Latin American, you can classify both or none. The key is that the direct path to qualification is to win.

Here, the scenarios for this Saturday.

What does Mexico need on this second date?

After a draw with Poland, Mexico can virtually secure their place in the round of 16 if they beat Argentina on Saturday. If they tie, they must defeat Saudi Arabia on the third date, and if they lose, in addition to achieving a good result against the Middle East team, they need Saudi Arabia and Poland to draw.

This is how the results will be in the different scenarios after the next group matches that will face Argentina, Mexico, Saudi Arabia and Poland.

Points after the second date:

✅ If Mexico wins Argentina and Saudi Arabia and draws Poland

• 🇲🇽 Mexico 4
• 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia 4
• 🇵🇱 Poland 2
• 🇦🇷 Argentina 0

✅ If Mexico beat Argentina and Saudi Arabia beat Poland

• 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia 6
• 🇲🇽 Mexico 4
• 🇵🇱 Poland 1
• 🇦🇷 Argentina 0

✅ If Mexico wins Argentina and Poland wins Saudi Arabia

• 🇲🇽 Mexico 4
• 🇵🇱 Poland 4
• 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia 3
• 🇦🇷 Argentina 0

＝ If Argentina and Mexico tied and Saudi Arabia beat Poland

• 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia 6
• 🇲🇽 Mexico 2
• 🇦🇷 Argentina 1
• 🇵🇱 Poland 1

＝ If Argentina and Mexico tied and Poland beat Saudi Arabia

• 🇵🇱 Poland 4
• 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia 3
• 🇲🇽 Mexico 2
• 🇦🇷 Argentina 1

＝ If Argentina and Mexico tied and Poland and Saudi Arabia tied

• 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia 4
• 🇵🇱 Poland 2
• 🇲🇽 Mexico 2
• 🇦🇷 Argentina 1

❌ If Mexico loses to Argentina and Saudi Arabia beats Poland:

• 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia 6
• 🇦🇷 Argentina 3
• 🇵🇱 Poland 1
• 🇲🇽 Mexico 1

❌ If Mexico loses to Argentina and Poland beats Saudi Arabia:

• 🇵🇱 Poland 4
• 🇦🇷 Argentina 3
• 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia 3
• 🇲🇽 Mexico 1

❌ If Mexico loses to Argentina and Saudi Arabia and Poland draw:

• 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia 4
• 🇦🇷 Argentina 3
• 🇵🇱 Poland 2
• 🇲🇽 Mexico 1

What does Argentina need on this second date?

First, a no-brainer: You shouldn’t lose to Mexico on Saturday. If you lose, you will have to say goodbye to the World Cup in the group stage For the fourth time in its history And everyone who bets on Alpinca will have to suffer his defeat as well.

If they beat El Tre, Argentina enters the fray and counts on Poland not winning. If they draw, they still have a chance mathematically, but it becomes very difficult for them: they need Saudi Arabia and Poland to draw, win the last date against the European team and Mexico not win the last match in the group stage.

This is how the results will be in the different scenarios after the next group matches that will face Argentina, Mexico, Saudi Arabia and Poland.

Points after the second date:

✅ If Argentina beat Mexico and Saudi Arabia draws with Poland:

• 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia 4
• 🇦🇷 Argentina 3
• 🇵🇱 Poland 2
• 🇲🇽 Mexico 1

✅ If Argentina beat Mexico and Saudi Arabia beat Poland:

• 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia 6
• 🇦🇷 Argentina 3
• 🇵🇱 Poland 1
• 🇲🇽 Mexico 1

✅ If Argentina beat Mexico and Poland beat Saudi Arabia:

• 🇵🇱 Poland 4
• 🇦🇷 Argentina 3
• 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia 3
• 🇲🇽 Mexico 1

＝ If Argentina and Mexico tied and Saudi Arabia beat Poland

• 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia 6
• 🇲🇽 Mexico 2
• 🇦🇷 Argentina 1
• 🇵🇱 Poland 1

＝ If Argentina and Mexico tied and Poland beat Saudi Arabia

• 🇵🇱 Poland 4
• 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia 3
• 🇲🇽 Mexico 2
• 🇦🇷 Argentina 1

＝ If Argentina and Mexico tied and Poland and Saudi Arabia tied

• 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia 4
• 🇲🇽 Mexico 2
• 🇵🇱 Poland 2
• 🇦🇷 Argentina 1

Can Argentina and Mexico pass the group stage?

It’s hard, but yes.

The two Latin American countries in Group C will advance to the next stage of the World Cup under two circumstances:

1. If Argentina beat Mexico, Poland beat Saudi Arabia and then lost to Albiceleste and Mexico beat Saudi Arabia, stunned He will be in first place with 6 points, Poland and Mexico are tied with four points, and Saudi Arabia is at the bottom of the table with 3 points. In this case, it will be decided by goal difference and the two Latinos can reach it.
2. If, in the best case scenario, Argentina and Mexico tie after the third game, they will be left with 4 and 5 points respectively. If Poland beats Saudi Arabia and loses to Mexico, these two teams and Saudi Arabia will have 4 points left each. There, again, the pass to the second round will be decided by goal difference.

As there are still two dates left for the next round to be decided, the match between Poland and Saudi Arabia leaves the competition open. Argentina has a more difficult path, but the truth is that they can reach the round of 16 with 4 points if the goal difference is in their favor, and this means that any of the four teams in the group has a chance today.

These are the positions at the moment in Group C:

With information from Sebastian Jimenez Valencia.