And the consultancy Eurasia Group confirmed that “the presence of Lula will clearly hinder the electoral opportunities of a centrist candidate,” in favor of polarization with Bolsonaro.

Democratization
Lula, 75, has run in every election since the re-establishment of democracy in 1985, with the exception of 2018, when he outperformed Bolsonaro in polls, but was disqualified due to his first two convictions of negative corruption and money laundering.

In the second round, Bolsonaro defeated Fernando Haddad, who had been appointed by Lula. The competition divided the country between adherents of the left-wing Workers’ Party (which ruled for thirteen years, with Lula and Dilma Rousseff) and its critics, who embraced the figure of the former army captain with the support of ultra-conservative Pentecostal churches and agricultural trade lobby groups. . And security.

Last Sunday, a poll conducted by the polling center Ipec showed that Lula would be the only candidate with political capital higher than that of Bolsonaro.

Although the study did not confront them in a head-to-head duel, it did show that the former president had popular support at 50%, versus Bolsonaro’s 38%.