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Polling in Brazil: Unlike the rest, a poll predicted that Jair Bolsonaro would defeat Lula da Silva

Rhett CallowayBy Rhett CallowayOctober 30, 2022No Comments3 Mins Read
Polling in Brazil: Unlike the rest, a poll predicted that Jair Bolsonaro would defeat Lula da Silva
File photo of former President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro at a debate (Reuters/Mariana Gref)
File photo of former President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro at a debate (Reuters/Mariana Gref)

A survey released on Friday indicated that Jair Bolsonarothe President of Brazil and candidate for re-election, ahead of his rival in the run-off, the former President Lola da Silvawith a slight difference in intent to vote and could win the polls next Sunday.

The survey by ModalMais Bank of the Futura Institute indicates this Bolsonaro received 50.3% of the valid vote against Lula’s 49.7%. For valid sounds, voids, invalid sounds and people who say they don’t know, they are not taken into account. This is how Brazil’s Supreme Electoral Tribunal (TSE) does the official election count.

Listen to the poll 2000 people By computer-assisted telephone interviews between October 24 and 26 with a margin of error of 2.2 percentage points. It differs from most other polls published this week, which point to Lula’s advantage.

It might interest you: Polling in Brazil: Lula 49% and Bolsonaro 44% in a new poll three days before the election

On the other hand, ModalMais / Futura indicates that The biggest voter concern, with 45.2% citing, is the “return of Labour.”Referring to the Workers’ Party led by Lula da Silva. Another 43% indicated that their biggest fear is “the continuation of this government,” referring to the Bolsonaro administration.

Supporters of President and re-election candidate Jair Bolsonaro share a space in a street with supporters of former President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva in Brasilia on October 26, 2022 (Reuters/Usley Marcelino)
Supporters of President and re-election candidate Jair Bolsonaro share a space in a street with supporters of former President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva in Brasilia on October 26, 2022 (Reuters/Usley Marcelino)

After a fierce campaign, Brazil arrives on Sunday in second round The presidential election is between Jair Bolsonaro and Lula da Silva, both leaders with strong popular disapproval. The 77-year-old former president won the first round 48% to 43% and on Friday will face each other in the latest TV debate.

Might interest you: Bolsonaro and Lula face each other on Friday in the final debate before the election on Sunday

Lula, a former mineralogist, was president twice between 2003 and 2010 and was imprisoned in the massive “Lava Jato” anti-corruption case. But he was resurrected politically after his conviction was overturned due to procedural irregularities.

Bolsonaro, a 67-year-old former army captain, is seeking re-election after a turbulent term marked by 688,000 deaths from the pandemic, alarming levels of Amazon deforestation and institutional tensions.

In the first round, the president was surprised to get a better performance than expected in the polls.

File photo of an electronic ballot box during election day at a school in Brasilia (EFE/Joédson Alves)
File photo of an electronic ballot box during election day at a school in Brasilia (EFE/Joédson Alves)

The election campaign was also marked Bolsonaro’s ongoing questioning – without evidence – of the electronic voting systema position that raised fears that he would not accept an eventual defeat and riots such as the invasion of the United States Capitol after the defeat of Donald Trump.

In recent weeks, Bolsonaro appeared to have softened his rhetoric, citing his criticism of poll regulators. Last week he said it again The results will be accepted as long as the armed forces do not detect anything “abnormal”. Despite the tensions, many analysts rule out an institutional rift.

(With information from AFP)

Read on:

Brazil faces the biggest democratic dilemma of the past 30 years
Ballot in Brazil: Bolsonaro denounced maneuvers in favor of Lula da Silva, who asked him to “not create a quarrel” if he lost.
More strength and good business for the military in Latin America

Rhett Calloway

Rhett Calloway is a contributor at amicohoops.net, covering a wide range of topics including news, politics, business, technology, sports, entertainment, and lifestyle. He focuses on clear, accurate reporting and delivering useful information that helps readers stay informed about current events and emerging trends. With a reader-first approach, Rhett highlights stories that matter, providing balanced coverage and accessible insights on issues shaping communities in the United States and beyond.

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